GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/1/2025, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nordlingen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 57.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NordlingenWWLWW

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ErlbachNordlingen
46.7Attack64.7
73.3Defence51.0
53.3Form56.9
58.6Power57.5
1.56xG1.42
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