Erlbachvs
Nordlingen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/22/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 57.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20