Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Memmingen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60