Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Landshut are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Landshut hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00