Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Landsberg are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20