Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Landsberg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20