Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Landsberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80