Erlbachvs
Kirchheimer SC
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/19/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kirchheimer SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
78.4%
Model confidence
78.4%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 11 · GA 19 · avg 2.20/3.80