GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/19/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kirchanschöring are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachLLWWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
KirchanschöringWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachKirchanschöring
46.7Attack53.3
73.3Defence33.3
53.3Form33.3
58.6Power43.0
1.97xG1.09
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