Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
12.8%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00