GGOALVIO

Erlbach logoErlbachvsHeimstetten logoHeimstetten

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/2/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heimstetten are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ErlbachHeimstetten
46.7Attack53.3
73.3Defence53.3
53.3Form46.7
58.6Power53.0
1.58xG1.13
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