GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/25/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gundelfingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 56.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GundelfingenDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachGundelfingen
46.7Attack53.3
73.3Defence60.0
53.3Form53.3
58.6Power56.7
1.46xG1.14
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