Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Erlbach are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Garching are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
78.0%
Model confidence
78.0%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.75/0.50
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00