Erlbachvs
Deisenhofen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deisenhofen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60