Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dachau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40