GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/3/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while 1860 München II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and 1860 München II hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
1860 München IIDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Erlbach1860 München II
46.7Attack93.3
73.3Defence53.3
53.3Form53.3
58.6Power63.7
1.54xG1.50
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