Erchimvs
Ulaanbaatar
COMPLETEDMongolia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulaanbaatar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Erchim 1-3 Ulaanbaatar
Original prediction
Ulaanbaatar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Ulaanbaatar
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Ulaanbaatar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ErchimLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlaanbaatarWWWWD
GF 26 · GA 3 · avg 5.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ErchimUlaanbaatar
53.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence80.0
40.0Form86.7
34.0Power82.8
1.54xG4.07