Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erbil · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Erbil 1-0 Mosul, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Erbil 0-1 Mosul
Original prediction
Erbil
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Erbil 1–0 Mosul
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Erbil
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
Erbil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ErbilLDWLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MosulLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ErbilMosul
48.1Attack33.3
85.2Defence44.4
66.7Form29.6
67.5Power37.6
1.82xG0.45