GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Çorluspor 1947 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Erbaaspor 0-1 Çorluspor 1947

Original prediction

Çorluspor 1947

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.4%33.0%-1.5 pts
Draw3.3327.1%22.8%-4.3 pts
Away2.3538.5%44.2%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Çorluspor 1947

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Çorluspor 1947 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErbaasporLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Çorluspor 1947LWLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ErbaasporÇorluspor 1947
77.8Attack72.2
22.2Defence55.6
38.9Form55.6
47.3Power59.6
1.89xG2.37
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