Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
EPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ilves II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while EPS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EPS
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
6.9%
EPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 17 · avg 2.40/3.40