EPSvs
HJS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EPS 4-1 HJS Akatemia
Original prediction
EPS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 51.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 20.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 28.4% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
EPS
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
EPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EPSWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HJS AkatemiaLLWWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EPSHJS Akatemia
72.2Attack55.6
51.9Defence55.6
59.3Form57.4
61.0Power57.3
2.17xG1.52