Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
haka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
EPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while haka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and haka hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Suomen Cup, while haka holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
haka
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20