GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RED Star FC 93 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Epinal are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while RED Star FC 93 are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and RED Star FC 93 hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Ligue 3, while RED Star FC 93 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RED Star FC 93

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

RED Star FC 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EpinalLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
RED Star FC 93LDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
EpinalRED Star FC 93
38.2Attack53.9
50.0Defence66.7
32.4Form63.7
41.4Power62.9
0.77xG1.58
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