Enyimbavs
Sporting Lagos
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enyimba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enyimba 2-3 Sporting Lagos
Original prediction
Enyimba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.3% | 37.4% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.0% | 29.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.7% | 33.1% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Enyimba
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Enyimba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnyimbaLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting LagosLWLDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EnyimbaSporting Lagos
11.1Attack33.3
44.4Defence55.6
0.0Form33.3
22.9Power40.8
0.97xG1.09