GGOALVIO

Nigeria · NPFL · 9/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shooting Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Enyimba 4-2 Shooting Stars

Original prediction

Shooting Stars

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.3%35.1%-21.2 pts
Draw3.3327.2%28.8%1.6 pts
Away5.5116.4%36.0%19.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

19.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–115%
  2. 2.0–015%
  3. 3.1–114%

Predicted outcome

Shooting Stars

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Shooting Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EnyimbaDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shooting StarsLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EnyimbaShooting Stars
20.0Attack41.7
46.7Defence58.3
6.7Form50.0
28.1Power51.8
0.82xG1.20
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