Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Envigado are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tigres FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.6% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
23.6%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80