Primera BPrimera B
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Envigado

Envigado

Home
WD
10
Full time
Real Soacha

Real Soacha

Away
W
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Envigado(47%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Envigado
47%
Draw
29%
Real Soacha
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Envigado
34
Real Soacha
34
Defence
Envigado
82
Real Soacha
91
Momentum
Envigado
67
Real Soacha
100
Danger (xG)
Envigado
0.90
Real Soacha
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Envigado)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Real Soacha)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Envigado)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Real Soacha)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
EnvigadoEnvigado
WD
Real SoachaReal Soacha
W

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Envigado47%
Draw29%
Real Soacha24%

Envigado leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Envigado head into this in Primera B fixture at Estadio Polideportivo Sur in mixed form (WD), while Real Soacha arrive in mixed form (W). Envigado have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Real Soacha over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Envigado (82/100) and Real Soacha (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Envigado have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Real Soacha have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Envigado and Real Soacha in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Envigado to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Envigado 4703%, Draw 2895%, Real Soacha 2402%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Envigado

Envigado

W
@ Tigres FC
14 May 2026
21
D
@ Internacional Palmira
11 May 2026
00
Real Soacha

Real Soacha

W
vs Ind. Yumbo
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Envigado vs Real Soacha?

GoalVio's model predicts Envigado to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Soacha?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Envigado vs Real Soacha?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Envigado vs Real Soacha?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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