Envigadovs
Real Santander
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Envigado 1-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Envigado 1-1 Real Santander
Original prediction
Envigado
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.1% | 49.4% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 28.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.5% | 22.4% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Envigado 1–0 Real Santander
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnvigadoDDDWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real SantanderWLDDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
EnvigadoReal Santander
44.8Attack28.4
69.5Defence49.4
54.3Form27.2
57.9Power37.8
1.55xG0.45