Envigadovs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 3/16/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Envigado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
15.7%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20