Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Envigado are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Depor FC are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Depor FC hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (10.0 v 12.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Copa Colombia, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75