Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Envigado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bogota FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00