GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 10/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Envigado 1-0 Barranquilla, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Envigado 1-0 Barranquilla

Original prediction

Envigado

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5458.9%55.7%-3.1 pts
Draw3.8723.4%25.5%2.1 pts
Away5.1017.8%18.8%1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.2 pts

Projected Score

Envigado 1–0 Barranquilla

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Envigado

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EnvigadoDDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BarranquillaDWDDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
EnvigadoBarranquilla
44.4Attack42.2
69.4Defence54.9
53.7Form38.2
57.6Power46.3
1.33xG0.68
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