GGOALVIO

Nigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Enugu Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Enugu Rangers 1-0 Ranchers Bees

Original prediction

Enugu Rangers

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3666.5%48.7%-17.8 pts
Draw4.0022.6%25.5%2.9 pts
Away8.2810.9%25.8%14.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Enugu Rangers

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Enugu Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Enugu RangersWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Ranchers BeesWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Enugu RangersRanchers Bees
66.7Attack66.7
55.6Defence41.7
55.6Form50.0
60.9Power52.1
1.62xG1.22
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