GGOALVIO

World · CAF Champions League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Enugu Rangers 2-0 MC Alger

Original prediction

MC Alger

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.4426.1%29.9%3.8 pts
Draw2.9830.2%30.2%0.0 pts
Away2.0543.8%40.0%-3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–015%
  2. 2.1–115%
  3. 3.0–114%

Predicted outcome

MC Alger

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Enugu RangersDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MC AlgerDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Enugu RangersMC Alger
33.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power77.5
0.89xG1.11
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