Entebbe UPPCvs
Police
COMPLETEDUganda · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Entebbe UPPC 0-0 Police, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Entebbe UPPC 3-0 Police
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.5% | 36.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.7% | 29.8% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Entebbe UPPC 0–0 Police
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Entebbe UPPCDLWWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PoliceWDLWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Entebbe UPPCPolice
25.0Attack25.0
83.3Defence91.7
58.3Form58.3
58.8Power60.3
0.79xG0.68