GGOALVIO

Uganda · Premier League · 9/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Entebbe UPPC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Entebbe UPPC 0-1 Lugazi

Original prediction

Entebbe UPPC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5458.3%50.7%-7.6 pts
Draw3.3526.9%26.1%-0.7 pts
Away6.0714.8%23.1%8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Entebbe UPPC

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Entebbe UPPC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Entebbe UPPCW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
LugaziL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Entebbe UPPCLugazi
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power15.3
2.08xG1.11
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