Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enskede W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enskede W 2-2 Jitex W
Original prediction
Enskede W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 39.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.0% | 34.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Enskede W
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Enskede W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Enskede WLLLWL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Jitex WLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Enskede WJitex W
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
2.01xG1.75