GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Enskede W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Enskede W 0-1 Alingsås W

Original prediction

Enskede W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0544.3%40.0%-4.3 pts
Draw3.4826.1%26.1%0.0 pts
Away3.0729.6%33.9%4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Enskede W

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Enskede W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Enskede WLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alingsås WLDWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Enskede WAlingsås W
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
23.7Power36.5
1.90xG1.75
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