Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enskede 1-0 Skiljebo
Original prediction
Skiljebo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 35.9% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 24.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.4% | 39.1% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnskedeWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SkiljeboWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EnskedeSkiljebo
56.9Attack77.8
66.7Defence65.3
68.1Form77.8
65.0Power74.1
1.27xG1.49