Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enskede · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enskede 2-0 Falu BS
Original prediction
Enskede
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.9% | 48.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 25.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 25.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Enskede
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Enskede has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnskedeWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Falu BSLLDWW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EnskedeFalu BS
56.5Attack53.6
65.2Defence59.4
66.7Form59.4
63.9Power58.6
1.54xG1.03