Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enskede · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Enskede are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arlanda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Enskede holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Enskede
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Enskede has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20