GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Mokawloon · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Enppi 0-3 El Mokawloon

Original prediction

El Mokawloon

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6534.3%30.7%-3.6 pts
Draw2.8332.2%28.4%-3.7 pts
Away2.7233.5%40.9%7.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

El Mokawloon

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

El Mokawloon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EnppiLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
El MokawloonDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
EnppiEl Mokawloon
44.4Attack38.9
33.3Defence66.7
22.2Form44.4
36.4Power52.0
1.00xG1.33
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