Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enosis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enosis 2-1 ASIL Lysi
Original prediction
Enosis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.4% | 38.8% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 29.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 31.8% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Enosis
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Enosis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnosisWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ASIL LysiWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EnosisASIL Lysi
55.6Attack66.7
88.9Defence77.8
77.8Form77.8
74.7Power75.3
1.33xG1.21