Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enköping 3-1 Piteå
Original prediction
Enköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.1% | 56.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 21.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.3% | 22.1% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Enköping
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Enköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnköpingWWWLD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PiteåDDDWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
EnköpingPiteå
50.0Attack42.0
50.0Defence38.3
57.7Form29.6
54.2Power38.9
2.12xG1.11