Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enköping 1-0 Gefle IF
Original prediction
Enköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 37.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 26.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 36.0% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Enköping
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Enköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnköpingLDWWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gefle IFLWLWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EnköpingGefle IF
50.0Attack55.6
50.0Defence55.6
58.3Form66.7
55.9Power61.0
1.61xG1.52