Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Enisey are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nasaf are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40