GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/23/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Enisey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Enisey are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Leningradets are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Enisey hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the First League, while Enisey holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Enisey

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Enisey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EniseyWLLDL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LeningradetsDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
EniseyLeningradets
55.6Attack20.0
50.0Defence46.7
50.0Form26.7
52.8Power34.5
1.69xG0.85
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