Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Enisey are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chayka are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 79.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60