Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 02:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
England
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
England has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EnglandWWWLW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
CroatiaLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EnglandCroatia
100.0Attack33.3
75.0Defence0.0
75.0Form25.0
78.0Power22.4
2.50xG0.73