England U21vs
Slovakia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
England U21 0-0 Slovakia U21
Original prediction
England U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.8% | 71.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.70 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 12.22 | 7.5% | 12.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
England U21
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
71.6%
England U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60